Iran Election Guide

Donate to EAWV





Or, click to learn more

Search

« Israel-Palestine: After Mitchell Meeting, Netanyahu Presses His Advantage | Main | Israel and Mitchell-Netanyahu: No Agreement Yet "Good" »
Wednesday
Aug262009

The Latest from Iran: Responding to the Trial (26 August)

The Latest from Iran (25 August): The Trials Resume
The 4th Tehran Trial: The Tehran Bureau Summary
Video: The 4th Tehran Trial (25 August)
The Tehran Trial: The Regime Goes After the Reformists AND Rafsanjani

Receive our latest updates by email or RSS SUBSCRIBE TO OUR FEED
Buy Us A Cup of Coffee? Help Enduring America Expand Its Coverage and Analysis


IRAN TRIALS 6

2145 GMT: The Tehran Times has published an English summary of the letter from the Rafsanjani office striking back at former 1st Vice President and current Ahmadinejad Chief of Staff Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai (see 1225 and 1545 GMT):
“Mr. Mashaii’s record in making incorrect and illogical statements is so clear that there is no need for a reply,” but in light of the fact that the person who has made such fabrications was supposed to become the president’s first vice president and is currently the chief of staff of the Presidential Office, it seems that there is “a very complex conspiracy” to create conflict among the pillars of the establishment, part of the statement read.

The statement also called Rahim-Mashaii’s remarks hallucinations and added that the Supreme Leader had earlier warned the country’s officials about such hallucinations.

2110 GMT: Associated Press has published an English summary of Ayatollah Montazeri's open letter (see 1605 GMT): "The biggest oppression ... is despotic treatment of the people in the name of Islam. I hope the responsible authorities give up the deviant path they are pursuing and restore the trampled rights of the people....I hope authorities...have the courage to announce that this ruling system is neither a republic nor Islamic and that nobody has the right to express opinion or criticism."

2055 GMT: The Rafsanjani Fightback. Remember the former President's delay in passing Mehdi Karroubi's 29 July letter asking for an investigation of abuse claims? Well, after yesterday's trial events, compare and contrast this news: Rafsanjani has passed the cases of two rape victims to the Supreme Leader, to Ayatollah Montazeri, and to Ayatollah Sistani in Iraq.

2000 GMT: Some members of Parliament are objecting to the composition of the special National Security Committee investigating post-election events such as abuse of detainees. Their concern is that three pro-Ahmadinejad members of the committee have already asserted in interviews that the prisoners are in good condition and that there has been no torture, rape, or secret burials.

1945 GMT: Fars News has now published (as has Parleman News) a full summary of the Supreme Leader's statement, initially given to a meeting of the Student Leaders of the Islamic Revolution. It contains the extracts we've noted below, within this context: Ayatollah Khamenei noted incidents such as raids on University dormitories and clashes in the Central Bazaar area soon after the election but put these within the context of the legitimacy in which 85 percent of the population participated.

1915 GMT: Reuters adds an important proviso on the Khamenei statement. Just because he is stepping away from the "velvet revolution" charge does not mean he is giving complete absolution to the demonstrators: "There is no doubt that this movement, whether its leaders know or not, was planned in advance."

The Reuters framing also indicates that the Supreme Leader may not have been rejecting the current trials but drawing a line against any more arrests of key opposition figures.

1900 GMT: Want Some More? How about a possible slap-down of the trials and detentions from the Supreme Leader? "We should not proceed in dealing with those behind the protests based on rumours and guesswork. The judiciary should only give rulings based on solid evidence, not on circumstantial evidence."

And let's add a warning that some of those involved in detentions and violence against protestors may face their own reckoning: "I appreciate the work of the police and Basij [militia] in dealing with the riots, but this does not mean that some of the crimes which occurred will not be dealt with and anyone who is a member of those two who committed a fault should be dealt with."

1845 GMT: An Important Signal? The Supreme Leader has finally emerged after yesterday's trial, and it looks like he may be putting some distance between himself and President Ahmadinejad. In a statement read on state TV, Ayatollah Khamenei declared:


I do not accuse the leaders of the recent incidents to be subordinate to the foreigners, like the United States and Britain, since this issue has not been proven for me. This plot was defeated, since fortunately our enemies still do not understand the issue in Iran. Our enemies were given a slap in face by the Iranian nation, but they are still hopeful and they are pursuing the issue.

It is one thing for the Supreme Leader to rebuff the President's attack on Hashemi Rafsanjani, but this appears to be a message to back off the campaign against the reformists.

1605 GMT: Grand Ayatollah Hossein-Ali Montazeri has re-entered the political arena with an open letter: "For worldly gains, gentlemen have closed their eyes and ears and hearts on all facts. They should have courage and announce that this regime is neither Islamic nor Republic."

1555 GMT: A Crack in the Coverage. Press TV English's website, in contrast to the anti-reformist drumbeat of much of Iran's state media, has an extended feature on the refusal of defendant Abdollah Ramezanzadeh, the deputy head of the Islamic Iran Participant Front (see yesterday's updates, 1720 GMT) to confess after yesterday's trial: "As a reformist I have always held clear positions. I have always opposed all forms of illegal activities and my stance has not changed."

1545 GMT: More on the Rafsanjani Fightback. The response of Rafsanjani's office to the statements of former 1st Vice President Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai (see 1225 GMT) has not only called them pure fabrications but has stated, "Mashai and Ahmadinejad must defend their accusations in an honest and qualified court."

1535 GMT: Who Will Have Dinner with Mahmoud? Understandably, there has been much glee amongst opponents of the President at the news that only 20 of 290 MPs showed up at his "breaking of the fast" meal on Sunday. An EA correspondent sends in a more accurate and more important assessment:
Instead of lobbying the conservative faction as a whole over his Cabinet choices, Ahmadinejad has decided to enter into individual negotiations with MPs from economically challenged areas and remote provinces.

He has been trying to woo these MPs by inviting them for Eftar, the evening meal of Ramadan, at the Presidential residence. However, although the number of these parties have increased, most MPs have given Ahmadinejad the cold shoulder. Only 1/3 of the MPs from economically-challenged areas and remote provinces have broken bread with the president. One of the pro-Ahmadinejad MPs has declared that eight of the suggested ministers lack basic qualifications for attaining confidence votes.

1520 GMT: 24 hours after the latest post-election trial, Mehdi Karroubi has written to the new head of Iran's judiciary, Sadegh Larijani, to congratulate him and to express his hope, "considering the sensitive political and social conditions", that Larijani will ensure "the implementation of the Constitution, the legal defense of freedom and citizenship rights, and the maintenance legal justice to defend the dignity of the system".

1240 GMT: EA Public Service Announcement. Initially we were going to bring out a detailed analysis today of the Tehran trial and its impact, but we're watching carefully how certain groups and individuals, especially Hashemi Rafsanjani, manoeuvre. So the special analysis, "Iran Showdown: The Regime's Battle on Three Fronts", will be posted Thursday morning.

1225 GMT: And That's Not All. Rafsanjani, or those allied with him, have also struck back in a statement condemning recent remarks by the former First Vice President and Ahmadinejad ally Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai.

1210 GMT: Picking up on the Rafsanjani fightback against the charges in the Tehran trial, we should note that Rafsanjani's son, Mehdi Hashemi, did not merely proclaim his innocence. He also turned the allegations of corruption and mismanagement back against the President, claiming that Tehran had "lost" 340 billion tomans (almost $3.5 million) when Ahmadinejad was Mayor of the city.

1130 GMT: The offer of former President Mohammad Khatami has issued a statement criticising "confessions" in the Tehran trials, obtained under "extraordinary circumstances", as invalid and rejecting the specific charges that were made against him. (Reuters has an English-language summary.)

0815 GMT: The Disappearing American. The US media's coverage of the Tehran trial yesterday was poor, and reporters still have no clue about the significance of the testimony about the Rafsanjani family. Even so, there appears to be an extraordinary gap in their coverage.

When French national Clotilde Reiss appeared in an earlier trial, she was the focus of attention from "Western" press. However, when academic Kian Tajbakhsh, a dual Iran-US national, not only appeared as a defendant but testified yesterday, the American media seem to have been asleep. CNN refers to Tajbakhsh only in the context of Saeed Hajjarian's testimony (MSNBC does briefly mention Tajbaksh's statement). The New York Times leaves the academic out of their summary.

We hope to have a full analysis later of how the Iranian regime is using Tajbakhsh, as well as the Iranian defendants, to construct the "velvet revolution" that is supposedly threatening Tehran.

0805 GMT: Irony Alert. Less than 24 hours after Tuesday's trial, Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejeie, the former Minster of Intelligence and Iran's new Prosecutor General, has declared: "The performance of justice must start with the judiciary."

0800 GMT: Tuesday's Other Court Appearance. Hossein Karroubi, the son of Presidential candidate Mehdi Karroubi, was summoned to court to answer charges about his involvement in post-election conflict. He later spoke with Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: "They brought up several charges against me, including propaganda against the establishment, spreading prostitution, agitating public opinion, attempting to [assist] rioters, and so on. I responded that the country's youth had shed its blood in the streets, and young detainees in prison had been killed in the worst possible ways. We talked about what these things [mean] for the health of the [state]. They let me go after I paid bail."

Hossein Karorubi added that Monday's discussion between his father and members of Parliament over Mehdi Karroubi's allegations of abuse of detainees was "a very good meeting. Both the parliament members and Mr. Karroubi were satisfied....They first have to investigate the four cases, then Mr. Karroubi will present other cases."

0650 GMT: No to a Presidential Bright Idea. Ahmadinejad, in a move which I am sure is unconnected with current politics, proposed that working hours in governmental offices and banks be reduced during Ramadan by more than three hours each day. Speaker of Parliament Larijani squashed the ploy, however, declaring that the proposal was "against the constitution".

0640 GMT: More on the Secret Burials of Protestors. In this video interview with BBC Persian, Hanif Mazroui, the editor-in-chief of Norooz Online, has offered additional evidence of how government officials forced the staff of Behesht-e-Zahra cemetery to inter 40 bodies of slain demonstrators in mid-July.

Yesterday the managing director of the cemetery was fired by the Government, but Speaker of Parliament Ali Larijani has ordered that a group of MPs investigate the allegations.

0630 GMT: The next public stage in the battle? It could be this Friday's prayers in Tehran.

The big event will not be the prayer address, led by Hojatoleslam Sadighi. Instead, it will be the introduction to prayers by President Ahmadinejad. No doubt there will be politics behind (and perhaps in front of) religion, with the President following up on the attacks of the trial and making the case for his Cabinet 48 hours before Parliament begins voting on his Ministerial nominations.

But, further down the religious and political roads, the Friday prayer service to watch will be on the last Friday of Ramadan, which I think will be 18 Spetember. On Qods Day, the prayer leader will be Hashemi Rafsanjani.

0625 GMT: It seems so long ago, but it was only last Saturday that Hashemi Rafsanjani's statement to the Expediency Council prompted feverish speculation on whether he was giving in to the regime, with his call for unity behind the Supreme Leader, or setting up his next manoeuvre. To help clarify matters --- and read into that whatever you wish --- Rafsanjani's website has put up the audio of the former President's statement.

600 GMT: We should get a sense today of the effectiveness of the regime's dramatic move yesterday, using the Tehran trial not only as an all-out assault on the reformist movement but against the challenge of Hashemi Rafsanjani. We're working on a full analysis for later today. (Here are a couple of teasers: did the Supreme Leader support the assault? And how will the conservatives and principlists, with a majority inside Parliament and powerful figures outside it, react given their recent disquiet with President Ahmadinejad's approach on detentions?)

Meanwhile, another clue from the trial pointing to Rafsanjani as a primary target for Ahmadinejad and the Revolutionary Guard. The journalist Mohammad Atrianfar, a key figure in the Kargozaran party linked to Rafsanjani, was brought out again --- he had "confessed" on national television after the first trial --- to attack the former President's June letter to the Supreme Leader that raised concerns about manipulation of the election. The "criticism was inappropriate" and "not suitable for national publication".

Reader Comments (38)

[...] the original post here: The Latest from Iran: Responding to the Trial (26 August … Share and [...]

To sum up Khamenei's stand:

The reformist leaders were not supported by foreifners (not proven);
still, a plot has been defeated, yet the reformists are not fully responsible for the post election unrest since it was planned in advance (by whom?) "whether its leaders knew or not".
However, Khamenei doesn't question the legitimacy of the elections outcome (85 percent of the population participated).

August 26, 2009 | Unregistered Commenterflorence Achard

The most intresting news of the day is the passing of the letter on 2 rape victims. It is not so much the letters or the passing of them to the supreme leader that interests me but the fact that it is sent to 3 peopel

The Supreme Leader, to Ayatollah Montazeri, and to Ayatollah Sistani in Iraq.

Why woul he also sent it to Montazeri and Sistani !!!!!?????

- Is that an invitaion for two heavyweights to get more involved?
- Is that a signal to the supreme leader, you may be the leader of the islamic republic but not the leader of the islamic Shia world?
- Is it a message to the rest of Iran saying these two men are equal to the supreme leader and their advice and wisdom must be taken into consideration?
- Is he degrading the supreme leader to just one of few islamic leaders?

- What is the message he is giving ? why sent it to the other 2 ?

August 26, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAfshin

The Montazeri's link is not correct.

August 26, 2009 | Unregistered Commenterdmnari

Afshin
How is Ayatollah Sistani seen in Iran? What are the relationships between the cross-borders clerics? From here, passing the letter to Ayatollah Sistani sounds like Hashemi's forcing SL to deal with the issue-- he's making SL accountable to somebody outside of the system who can't be controlled in the usual ways. But these guys are never that straightforward

Your 4 questions all sound like yes
ante up

August 26, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAmy

Sistani is I would say perhaps the TOP Shia Ayatollah. Together with Montazeri they are perhaps the two highest Grand Ayatollahs in the Shia world.

They are clerically speaking many levels higher then Khamenei...

Montazei was allready a Grand Ayatollah before the revolution even. Khamenei on his turn never made is passed Hojjat-ol eslam which like a mid ranking cleric.

While these two are not just Grand Ayatollahs but the grandest of them all.

That having said one is a Iranian living in Iraq. The other a dissident Grand Ayatollah who has been given house arrest for long periods and normally cut off from the society. This act by Hashemi is dangerous and gives him new creditability...

August 26, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAfshin

Sistani was in Iran recently for medical treatments. Didn't he have a visit with Hashemi at that time? Does Sistani keep distance between himself & the Iranian clerics?

August 26, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAmy

Afshin,

I don't think Rafsanjani's move is an attempt at degrading or belittling Khamenei.

He sends the letters to three high ranking clerics (even the highest ranking clerics in the Shia world) which means that he transfers this issue to the religious ground, meaning: "you see, this AN isn't only a problem in Iran, he is a problem and a threat to the whole Shia world and to Islam because of the unislamic deeds he commits in the name of Islam.

August 27, 2009 | Unregistered Commenterflorence Achard

Khamenei:"There is no doubt that this movement, whether its leaders know or not, was planned in advance.”

Khamenei also said that it has not been proven that the reformists were supported by foreigners; so the question is, who planned these troubles in advance? who may the SL be thinking of?

Now, if you take into account the fact that not long after Khamenei's statements, Rafsandjani struck back at Ahmadinejad Chief of Staff Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai with charges of “a very complex conspiracy” to create conflict among the pillars of the establishment",

Aren't SL and Rafsandjani both pointing at AN as the person behind the scenes who created the troubles, possibly in order to have a pretext for the Guards to take control and put the finishing touches to the coup initiated with the elections?

Well, it's very late and maybe I'm getting carried away!
I'm looking forward to reading Scott's promised analysis tomorrow

August 27, 2009 | Unregistered Commenterflorence Achard

'night florence! It's late even here in eastern US. I wonder if you or Afshin ever get around to sleeping!

August 27, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAmy

@ florence Achard

I disagree again,

If these were any two Marja's , then yes agreed.
But no these are 2 Marja's who have both openly attacked on the S.L, challenging his position, his wisdom and his quality to be the S.L

August 27, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAfshin

Well, Afshin, this was only guesswork from what I've learned about Iran on this website mainly and I still feel that there might be some truth in it.

I thought Rafsandjani's aim was to have the very conservative clerics distance themselves from the AN administration (which they feel is a threat to them) to side not with Rafsandjani the reformer but with him and his very religious allies (the Marja's).

August 27, 2009 | Unregistered Commenterflorence Achard

@ florence Achard
Yes but these are not concservative clerics, Sistani is Secular and Montazeri very very Liberal, He was the crown prince but removed due to his liberal and more democratic, Human rights respecting views.

This may very well be a game of Hashemi and S.L giving each other minor warnings.

S.L warning Hashemi again (indirectly) about the corruption charges and Hashemi waring again about the S.L devine rights to lead not being so very devine anymore...

August 27, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAfshin

PostPost a New Comment

Enter your information below to add a new comment.

My response is on my own website »
Author Email (optional):
Author URL (optional):
Post:
 
Some HTML allowed: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong>