US Politics Analysis: An Interesting Week for Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum...and Jeb Bush?

Rick Santorum & Mitt RomneyIf Rick Santorum beats Mitt Romney in Michigan on 28 February, then is the social conservative from Pennsylvania the Republican nominee?  Probably. But this also raises the possibility that Republicans will turn to an alternative.

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US Elections Analysis: Romney's GOP Challengers Look for a Brokered Convention

Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Rick SantorumNewt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul will not admit it, as anything hinting at a defeatist attitude is a death-knell in American politics, but they hope to force a brokered convention. In that scenario, if Romney does not get the 50% of delegates he requires on the first ballot, the State delegates who were pledged to him can switch their support to another candidate.

Some "back of a napkin" mental arithmetic illustrates this reasoning.

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